I am not big on year-in-review posts, but two trends emerged in 2014 that are worth reflecting upon.
1) What’s up in Eastern Europe? First a revolt against a pro-Russian kleptocrat in Ukraine, then the Russia seizure of Crimea and Putin’s open sponsorship of separatist revolt in New Russia followed by Russian overflights around the world (noted by Poland and the Baltic states, ignored by the U.S. Media and Executive branch). Now, with the Saudi sponsored collapse of oil prices, dear Vlad is in a tight place (along with all sorts of lovely resource dependent regimes). Wither Russia? A question with a long pedigree that is once again pressing. What will 2015 bring.
2) The least xenophobic, most politically correct polity in Europe – Germany – is waking up to the fact that it cannot absorb a million Muslim Asylanten a year who refuse to integrate and still remain Germany in any meaningful way. Weekly demonstrations in Dresden against Muslim intolerance are growing apace to the enormous consternation of the country’s political élite. The establishment parties are eager to paint the demonstrations as neo-Nazi, which it is not. The new anti-Euro party-Alternative for Germany – is trying to take leadership of what is a relatively spontaneous popular movement. Pray they succeed or that local activists succeed in keeping the crazies out.
Has any country in recent memory had a political élite that so despises its own past and people? (Well, beside the current crew of Red Diaper Babies in DC.) it puts me in mind of at-Petrine Tsarist Russia, where the élite spoke French and abjured most things Russian.
This, then, within Europe itself, is the next and most important theater in the civilizational war between Western and Arabian civilizations. Will the various peoples stand up to their multiculturally inclined betters? Can they do so without succumbing to an illiberal ethos that is the antithesis of Western Civilization?